Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.133756 0.158418 0.185996 0.219070 0.257605 0.301033 0.353632
2025-01-05 0.094921 0.126441 0.165642 0.217756 0.284975 0.368489 0.479822
2025-01-12 0.070856 0.103743 0.148267 0.212473 0.302123 0.422198 0.594417
2025-01-19 0.054871 0.087065 0.133890 0.206170 0.313950 0.467497 0.701241
2025-01-26 0.046317 0.078772 0.128970 0.211084 0.340515 0.534687 0.845300
2025-02-02 0.039483 0.071518 0.123900 0.214161 0.363650 0.598412 0.990704
2025-02-09 0.033747 0.064819 0.118308 0.214998 0.382539 0.656815 1.133575
2025-02-16 0.029473 0.059779 0.114497 0.217862 0.404531 0.721896 1.293610
2025-02-23 0.026679 0.056903 0.113911 0.226029 0.436256 0.806104 1.494138
2025-03-02 0.022536 0.050599 0.105940 0.219305 0.440069 0.841988 1.614068
2025-03-09 0.019822 0.046684 0.101887 0.219300 0.456027 0.900709 1.780258
2025-03-16 0.017227 0.042525 0.096658 0.216094 0.465155 0.947371 1.928375
2025-03-23 0.015666 0.040456 0.095590 0.221555 0.492750 1.033018 2.161575
2025-03-30 0.013753 0.037205 0.091475 0.219963 0.505723 1.091707 2.348896
2025-04-06 0.011861 0.033624 0.086022 0.214570 0.509828 1.132840 2.505117
2025-04-13 0.010194 0.030267 0.080524 0.208194 0.510820 1.167383 2.650953
2025-04-20 0.009375 0.029002 0.079876 0.213150 0.537918 1.259870 2.927929
2025-04-27 0.008554 0.027564 0.078558 0.216255 0.561037 1.345945 3.199300
2025-05-04 0.007725 0.025932 0.076468 0.217100 0.578815 1.421828 3.455377
2025-05-11 0.007075 0.024699 0.075242 0.219990 0.601915 1.512037 3.752229
2025-05-18 0.006687 0.024207 0.075986 0.228231 0.639424 1.639348 4.146187
2025-05-25 0.005828 0.021999 0.071483 0.221446 0.637443 1.672721 4.323012
2025-06-01 0.005282 0.020723 0.069496 0.221441 0.653290 1.750766 4.613849